Somali dust storm (image on Flickr by Frank Keillor).
‘The climatic conditions linked to the drought in the Horn in 2011 have persisted, and some early warning officials say the aid community should brace themselves for a possible re-run of last year’s food crisis. . . .
‘According to the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET), recent analysis has also identified a relationship between sea surface temperature and rainfall in the western Pacific, and rainfall in East Africa.
‘“The western Pacific is currently exhibiting a sea surface temperature and rainfall pattern which is similar to patterns experienced during the drought years of 1984, 2000, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2011. This analysis suggests that if these conditions persist, eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and southeastern Ethiopia may experience dry conditions,” FEWS Net said in its latest report. . . .
‘The Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum, which monitors such local conditions, is meeting from 27 to 29 February in Rwanda and will provide greater forecast clarity, said both Kolli and FEWS NET.’
Read the whole article at IRIN: Horn: Poor rains again this season?, 10 Feb 2011.